Solar Storms impact our lives. When they happen, will you be aware?

The Weekly Solar Weather Forecast
June 24, 2014 - June 30, 2014

Please note, as with all Earth based weather forecasts, solar weather also changes on a daily and hourly basis. As such, understand that the following predictions are subject to change at any moment and therefore why the FlareAware alert system is an important tool in your arsenal for following solar weather:

This week begins with very low flaring levels, 1% chance for both M and X class, due to a calm few active regions on the visible disk. Higher chances for flaring can be expected to increase as the week progresses with the return of AR 2080 and AR 2085 on the 26th of June. Both active regions produced multiple M class flares during their previous rotation and appear to still hold potential for more eventful activity. A slight geomagnetic disturbance may be felt after the 26th due to the passing of a coronal hole high speed wind stream, however, effects are expected to be mild and return to normal levels by the 27th.

Beyond this week, flaring activity is likely to reach moderate levels with heightened chances for M class events and even fair chances for severe X class eruptions. Elevated chances for flaring are expected to really pick up the 6th through 11th of July due to the return of active region 2087 which was responsible for eight M class flares and three X class flares during it's last pass around the Earth side of the Sun. Isolated periods of geomagnetic activity are again possible the 11th and 14th – 17th of July due to the effects of multiple coronal hole high speed wind streams. Though no other specific events are currently forecasted, Earth directed CME events and severe flaring will quickly void quiet forecasted conditions.

• Due to risk factors associated with geomagnetic disturbances we have released the new Health Plus Plan designed to alert subscribers to periods of increased dangers such as:
• 210% rise in hospitalization due to heart attack
• 150% rise in hospitalization due to stroke
• 160% rise in occurrences of chest pain and irregular heart beat
• 10% - 15% rise in mortality rates, or death, due to the complications mentioned above
To add to these there are also recorded increases of depression, insomnia, suicide, homicide and other violent crimes.
Please consider the benefits of knowing when you're at risk so you can protect yourself and your family from further dangers.


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Health Alert

Low Health Danger

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AIA 304

This channel is especially good at showing areas where cooler dense plumes of plasma (filaments and prominences) are located above the visible surface of the Sun. Many of these features either can't be seen or appear as dark lines in the other channels. The bright areas show places where the plasma has a high density

Where: Upper chromosphere and lower transition region
Wavelength: 304 angstroms (0.0000000304 m) = Extreme Ultraviolet
Primary ions seen: singly ionized helium (He II)
Characteristic temperature: 50,000 K (90,000 F)

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This plot shows the current extent and position of the auroral oval in the northern hemisphere, extrapolated from measurements taken during the most recent polar pass of the NOAA POES more

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Average over last 15 minutes

Geomagnetic storms are a natural hazard, like hurricanes and tsunamis. Severe geomagnetic storms cause communications problems, abruptly increase drag on spacecraft, and can cause electric utility blackouts over a wide area. This NOAA ACE information gives about a one hour advance warning of impending geomagnetic storm activity.

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The GOES spacecraft each carry a sophisticated Solar X-ray Imager to monitor the Sun’s X-rays for the early detection of solar flares, coronal mass ejections, and other phenomena that impact the geospace environment on both minor and severe scales.

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